Next year’s regulative policy I will think can also severely. Including will limit purchases makes also to expand to the national 23 cities, to will develop the loan, the mortgage loan limit and so on, possibly can continue severely. Looked from the first half of this year’s data that regulation before has not achieved central anticipation.
The present regulative policy main nothing but is ‘ limits the price ‘, ‘limits purchases’, ‘limits the loan’, if the future will be severer, will have the possibility ‘ by a set time ‘, also will be cancels sells in advance the system, will only sell the present room, certainly such policy comparison ‘ the terror ‘, will not be supposed not to implement to situation as a last resort.
As for these years industry in continuously at discussion’s property tax question, at present looking from Chongqing and Shanghai’s experiment site,channel construction
does not have the too big effect, but its collection link, the collection standard and so on had the difficulty truly, therefore more was to the market psychology one kind of influence, perhaps from now on the experiment site scope will expand, but very difficult to become future key regulative policy.
The house price enters the downward channel Regarding the house price trend, the downward channel’s tendency is quite obvious. Recently Wan Keyou announced that puts out 10,000 anteroom reduction sale, although the reduction scope is not very big, but has certain influence to the market confidence and colleague’s competition, will have the demonstration effect.
Regarding the developer, produces goods is the hard truth, may the effective addressing cash flow question. Now many financial organs made loans the annual interest to achieve 20% even 25%, cited an example saying that the developer paid the such high interest with it to melt 5 hundred million funds, the might as well reduces 25% costs to sell 500,000,000 Yuan houses to come out, to reckon up this account, in the future the developer will reduce prices the scope and the popularization will further also increase.
After market spatial gambling has refused to compromise period of time, reduces prices the possibility has. Now some people forecast that next year the house price will fall 20%, theoretically speaking, will drop 10%, 20% to have the possibility, but must look that which place concrete will be, because looked from the nationwide scale, between the local difference will be very big.
’100,000,000,000 clubs ‘ meet dilatancy Regarding strength Fang Qi, reduces prices not to be able to affect their sales result, looks like Wan Ke permanently, big and so on developers, the first half of the year’s sales volume compared with the same time last year has the very big growth, the present market demand objective existence, is only is constrained temporarily,hotel interior design
if the price appears becomes less crowded, the consumer will get rid.
Looking from the present situation, Wan Da, Wan Ke, permanent big, green space these room business the sales volume has the possibility to break through by the end of the year 100,000,000,000, next year’s situation has the possibility to compare this year fortunately, but these Fang Qi profit margin will drop. But grasped 78 plates, 3,000,000,000-4,000,000,000 Yuan fund scale medium Fang Qi regarding these hands, possibly faced at present the situation will be quite painful.
In the hand has 1-2 plate’s den business on the contrary easy to do somewhat. The overall, should have more business next year to present the merger and acquisition, the transfer or the withdrawal phenomenon, but I thought that will not present large quantities of Fang Qi who some people forecast to die ‘ frigidly ‘ the aspect. The market segmentation will be the future tidal current Next year, the commercial real estate will enter a superheating the competitive stage.
jin 1-2 nian lai,development spring more and more developer investment commercial real estate domain. The overall, the housing real estate is the disposable expense, but the commercial real estate involves the surface is broader, including the investment, the operation, has and so on each link, is been small the market environment influence, moreover many place’s commercial sizes are Local authority’s requests forcefully, will become next year possibly a big hot spot.
Moreover, in the segmentation market, will look like the industry real estate, the retirement real estate next year and so on, will have the possibility to present some changes. Some will not be able to open up the perspective in the housing market the developer very possibly to seek reforming.